Donald Trump Or Kamala Harris, Who Will Be Next US President? Expert Forecaster Allan Lichtman, Known For Accurate Predictions Answers

He has correctly predicted the outcome over the past 50 years.

Sep 6, 2024 - 19:30
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Donald Trump Or Kamala Harris, Who Will Be Next US President? Expert Forecaster Allan Lichtman, Known For Accurate Predictions Answers

New Delhi: Nostradamus, Baba Vanga, and Paul the Octopus have never failed to amuse and surprise us with the predictions that they made decades, centuries ago. Paul the Octopus is an exception though for obvious reasons. Allan Lichtman is the latest to sign in in the league. Let’s look into why.

Now we have the US presidential elections lurking and Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are leaving no chance to heat the campaign trail and get the states in their favour.

Allan Lichtman, who we mentioned above, is an American election forecaster known for accurate predictions about who would perhaps perhaps be the US president.

Allan Lichtman has predicted the 2024 elections and placed Democrat candidate and US vice-president Kamala Harris within the White House.

Allan Lichtman has as this may likely be predicted the of 9 out of the 10 most modern presidential elections, reports USA These days adding that Lichtman routinely provides political commentary and is healthier known for his election forecasting.

Lichtman has as this may likely be predicted the of almost every election your entire way at some stage in the last 50 years, excluding 2000, during which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore, says USA These days.

First reported by The New York Times, Lichtman said in a video that he based his prediction on 13 keys or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Birthday party.”

What are the 13 keys?

  1. The White House party gained House seats your entire way at some stage in the midterm elections.
  2. The sitting president is running for reelection.
  3. The White House party is avoiding a chief contest.
  4. There would perhaps perhaps be a 0.33-party challenger.
  5. The short-term economy is powerful.
  6. The long-term economic growth has been pretty much as good because the last two terms.
  7. The White House party has made major changes to national policy.
  8. There would perhaps perhaps be sustained social unrest your entire way at some stage in the term.
  9. The White House is untainted by scandal, the incumbent party is charismatic.
  10. The challenger is uncharismatic.
  11. The incumbent is charismatic.
  12. The White House party has an enormous failure in foreign policy.
  13. The White House party has foreign policy success.

Eight of the keys are in favor of Harris, while three are in favor of Trump.

“Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys may well flip,” he said within the video.

“The Biden administration is deeply invested within the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with out a lead to sight. But even supposing both foreign policy keys flipped false, that may mean that there have been best 5 negative keys, which would now no longer be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House leaving Harris winning the White House. On the very least that’s my prediction for this race, nevertheless the is up to you, so get out and vote,” says Lichtman as reported by USA These days.

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