Tesla slips as Goldman lowers profit forecasts amid price, margin pressure

Goldman sees lower 2023, 2024 earnings as Tesla continues to win market share with price cuts that will hit overall profit margins.

Sep 18, 2023 - 18:30
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Tesla slips as Goldman lowers profit forecasts amid price, margin pressure

Tesla  (TSLA) - Get Free Report shares edged lower in pre-market trading Monday after analysts at Goldman Sachs lowered their profit forecasts for the clean energy carmaker, citing narrowing margins and lower selling prices.

Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney held to his 'neutral' rating on Tesla, as well as his $275 price target, but suggested that recent price cuts are likely to pressure gross margins, which are already declining, and lead to lower overall profits this year and next.

Tesla earned 91 cents per share over the three months ended in June, a 20% increase from the same period last year, even as revenue surged 47% to a record $24.5 billion.

That gap was largely explained by a sharp reduction in adjusted automotive margins, which were pegged at 18.7%, down from the year-earlier tally of 22.4% following a series of price cuts in its biggest global markets. 

"We lower our 2023 and 2024 EPS estimates for Tesla, mostly on lower ASPs and in turn auto gross margin ex credit assumptions (driven by lower prices for S/X and to a lesser extent Model Y, and partly offset by higher Model 3 ASP assumptions)," Delaney wrote.

"Tesla materially reduced S/X pricing on 9/1 by 15-19%, and reduced Model Y pricing in China in mid-August (and has been discounting inventory on hand in other markets like the US this quarter)," Delaney added. "However, Tesla raised pricing on the Model 3 with the refreshed version (Highland) that is now being sold in Europe and China."

Tesla shares were marked 0.2% lower in pre-market trading to indicate an opening bell price of $273.83 each.

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