Stock Market Today: Stocks edge higher with Fed, inflation in focus

The S&P 500 is holding a 4.4% gain heading into the final full trading week of the third quarter.

Sep 23, 2024 - 20:30
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Stock Market Today: Stocks edge higher with Fed, inflation in focus

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U.S. equity futures were jumbled together early Monday trading, while the dollar jumped against its global peers, as investors headed into the final word full trading week of the month concerned about the expansion and inflation backdrop earlier than the 1/3-quarter earnings season.

Updated at Eight:46 AM EDT

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Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari threw his toughen on the back of each other 50-basis-point (zero.5 percentage-point) interest-rate cut in November, telling CNBC that the "balance of risks" to the U.S. economy has clearly shifted from inflation to the labor market.

Kashkari, a non-voting member of the Fed's rate-setting committee, said he'd "penciled in" every other outsized cut, calling it a "reasonable starting point" which will be shaped by incoming data over the arriving months.

Check back for updates at some point of the trading day

Stocks ended mixed on Friday, despite the undeniable fact that all three benchmarks booked solid gains for the week. The market move followed the primary Federal Reserve rate cut in more than four years and data suggesting ongoing resilience within the labor market and better-than-expected underlying growth prospects, including August retail sales.

The Fed's 50 basis point reduction, which included forecasts for more cuts into the tip of the year and beyond, has changed the interest rate picture for global risk assets. It looks to extend the S&P 500's contemporary run of gains, which has lifted the benchmark just less than 1% higher for the month, putting it on percent for a fine four.5% quarterly gain.

That outlook would possibly be tested this week, nevertheless, as more than a dozen Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, are set to make public comments this week and the Bureau of Economic Analysis is able to publish its August inflation report, the central bank's most well-liked gauge, earlier than the foundation of trading on Friday.

Markets are likely to key on remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell later this week, as well because the August reading of the central bank's most well-liked inflation gauge.

Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

Still, CME Group's FedWatch now suggests as a minimum a 52% chance of each other 50 basis point cut from the Fed when it meets in November, and bets on the December meeting peg the Federal Funds Rate at between four% and four.52% by the tip of the year.

Benchmark 2-year Treasury note yields were little changed from Friday's closing levels and were last marked at Three.568% heading into the foundation of the New York trading session, with 10-year paper trading at Three.739%.

The U.S. dollar index, nevertheless, change into marked zero.34% higher against a basket of its global peers at One zero one.105. The figure followed the largest one-day decline for the euro since June, a move tied to a weaker-than-expected reading for private-sector business activity on this planet's biggest economic bloc.

Related: Fed speak, tech earnings and PCE inflation will test Wall Street this week

On Wall Street, stocks are a muted open heading into the Monday session, with futures contracts tied to the S&P 500 suggesting an 5 point opening bell gain and those linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average priced for a 7 point dip following last week's record high close.

The tech-focused Nasdaq, meanwhile, is priced for a forty point gain thanks in part to premarket advances for Nvidia (NVDA) , Tesla (TSLA) and Google (GOOGL) .

Intel (INTC) shares were the foremost active early mover, rising Three.5% to $22.Fifty six following a Bloomberg report that the struggling chipmaker is asking to close a $5 billion investment from Apollo Global Management. (APO)

Other stocks on the move include Palantir Technologies (PLTR) , on methods to start out trading on the S&P 500 at present time alongside Dell Technologies (DELL) and Erie Indemnity (ERIE) following the benchmark's regular quarter rebalancing.

American Airlines (AAL) , which is leaving the index, change into marked zero.1% lower in premarket trading.

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In remote places markets, a soft reading for S&P Global's PMI indices for September, a benchmark that tracks private sector activity around the region, pushed bets on a European Central Bank rate cut, helping the Stoxx 600 benchmark upward push zero.14% in early Frankfurt trading.

Overnight in Asia, a ten basis point reduction in a key China lending rate, the central bank's 14-day repo rate, gave domestic stocks a modest boost, with the regional MSCI ex-Japan benchmark rising zero.15% into the close of trading.

Japan's Nikkei 225, meanwhile, change into closed for the us of america's Autumnal Equinox observances.

Related: Veteran fund manager sees world of pain coming for stocks

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