Veteran trader reworks his stock price target for SoFi Technologies

This is what could happen next to shares of SoFi Technologies.

Sep 6, 2024 - 08:30
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Veteran trader reworks his stock price target for SoFi Technologies

SoFi, so good?

TheStreet Pro's Stephen Guilfoyle thinks so.

The veteran trader, whose career stretches back to the Eighties on the New York Stock Exchange, listened to what SoFi Technologies Chief Executive Anthony Noto had to claim in the pinnacle of a recent CNBC interview, and he came away impressed.

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"What struck me changed into that Noto said that his firm had seen 50% inflows in Q2 and that, to this point, Q3 changed into strong throughout the department besides," Guilfoyle wrote in his Sept. four column. "Noto said that SoFi has seen very strong debit spend in Q3, but that it didn't come on the expense of deposit growth."

The fintech company's customers are spending on income and not due to a couple of kind of wealth effect, he said. He added that the CEO "seriously is never very seeing the forms of issues with delinquencies that each other institution will likely be noticing."

"Additionally, while bank cards and personal loans are performing per expectations, the firm is seeing very strong investment inflows," Guilfoyle told readers. "Normally, Noto acknowledged that SoFi is seeing improved deposits, improved net flows and improved spending."

SoFi (SOFI) beat Wall Street's second-quarter earnings expectations in July and Noto told analysts that "our rapid diversification made a record revenue quarter which that you would be capable of assume, even with just 5% growth in adjusted net revenue in lending."

SoFi Technologies CEO Anthony Noto

Brian Ach/Getty Images for TechCrunch

Trader says ruling 'plays well for lenders'

"Combined, financial products and services and tech platform revenue grew forty six% year-over-year and now makes up 45% of total adjusted net revenue, up from 38% 300 and sixty five days ago," Noto, a former U.S. Army Ranger, said in the pinnacle of the company's earnings call.

"We are in point of fact encouraged by our team's ability to bend the curves through stringent underwriting, limiting credit exposure on prudent and making improvements to collections and servicing," he added.

Related: Veteran Wall Street trader reacts to SoFi second-quarter earnings

Guilfoyle also noted that SoFi stands to learn from the U.S. Supreme Court's recent decision not to reinstate the Biden administration’s student loan repayment plan, Saving on a Valuable Education, which aims to lower monthly payments for millions of borrowers.

The plan had been blocked by a federal appeals court earlier this summer on account of a legal challenge led by a couple of Republican states

The program changed into introduced last year after the Supreme Court struck down Biden's larger student loan debt relief plan, which may have forgiven up to $20,000 in student loan debt for as many as Forty three million American citizens.

The new plan changed into set to lower monthly payments for many borrowers and permit those with balances of $12,000 or less to have their debt cleared after 10 years.

"By taking the weight off of the taxpayers and placing it back on the borrowers, this kind of ruling obviously plays well for lenders equivalent to SoFi Technologies," said Guilfoyle, who raised his price target on the company's stock to $10.25, up from $9.50.

Noto said that student loan originations grew 86% year-over-year throughout the quarter.

"The team drove our strongest Q2 of origination volume in three years by iterating to drive continuous improvement in the pinnacle of the quarter and into Q3 with private loan financing, which exemplifies our ability to reply to environmental factors to drive results," he said.

SoFi CEO: Student loan refinancing strong

Noto said that student loan refinancing, "a product that seriously is never very going to be doing in point of fact well throughout this interest rate environment ... had strong growth."

"Student loan refinancing is our oldest and used to be biggest product, (and) we predict, is initiating to come right into a period where it should do kind of well," he told analysts.

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Last year, SoFi sued the Biden administration over the pause on federal student loan payments, saying the moratorium had no legal basis and had cost the bank millions of greenbacks in profits.

Student loan payments first were halted within the starting place of the pandemic by President Donald Trump’s administration. The pause changed into extended eight times over three years.

SoFi said that its federal student loan refinancing business has suffered because borrowers have little incentive to refinance while payments and interest remain on hold, the Associated Press reported.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Massachusetts) and Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-Massachusetts) sent a letter to Noto in April 2023, charging that “SoFi’s end the coed loan payment pause and force millions of American citizens into repayment while raking in massive revenues and handing out huge executive paychecks represents corporate greed at its worst."

SoFi dropped the lawsuit just a couple of minutes later.

More recently, seven Republican-led states filed a lawsuit on Sept. three to challenge the Biden administration's most modern student debt forgiveness plan, saying the U.S. Department of Education changed into taking steps to initiate canceling loans, Reuters reported.

Attorneys general from states including Georgia and Missouri said they recently obtained documents showing the Education Department had instructed federal loan servicers to initiate canceling hundreds of billions of greenbacks of loans as early as either Sept. three or Sept. 7 sooner than the guiding principle changed into finalized.

An Education Department spokesperson declined to comment on the case to Reuters but wired it “will continue to fight for borrowers across the u . s . who're struggling to repay their federal student loans.”

On the close of the earnings call, Noto said that Q2 changed into  "the most rewarding quarter, and dare I say the most fun that I've had in your time at SoFi."

"What made it special on fun changed into that we challenged ourselves to be better in areas that are the most tough throughout the current environment that don't appear to be speculated to do well throughout this environment, equivalent to home loans and student loan refinancing," he said.

"Hard seriously is never very for each and every person," Noto concluded. "But for me and individuals who stay at SoFi, it fits just fine."

Related: Veteran fund manager sees world of pain coming for stocks

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