Analysts reboot Grand Theft Auto maker's stock price target

This is what could happen next to Take-Two Interactive shares

Aug 22, 2024 - 08:30
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Analysts reboot Grand Theft Auto maker's stock price target

"This thing of ours....it's a brotherhood..."

And so begins the trailer for Mafia: The Ancient Kingdom, the clean entry inner the online activity action-travel franchise set to launch subsequent 12 months, consistent with Hanger thirteen and 2K, a publishing label of Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) .

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"Uncover the origins of geared up crime with a gritty mob story set inner the brutal underworld of 1900s Sicily," Take-Two brought up in a news launch. "Struggle to continue to exist on this harmful and unforgiving science, with action launched to life end result of the true realism and rich storytelling that the seriously acclaimed Mafia series is inspiration for."

Launched in 2002, the Mafia franchise has supplied elevated than 34 million copies right therefore of console and PC, the agency brought up.

Take-Two Interactive announced the logo new entry at Gamescom, which is billed only because the self-discipline's biggest gaming experience and held once a year in Cologne, Germany.

The agency, which publishes such basic games as Grand Theft Auto and Crimson Dead Redemption, additionally brought up that Borderlands Four, the clean inner the "looter-shooter" franchise, will launch in 2025, the position "avid gamers will as soon as as soon as more imagine the role of a legendary Vault Hunter as they give the affect of being for secret alien treasure while blasting the entire lot in sight."

Take-Two Interactive brought up the Borderlands franchise has supplied elevated than 87 million copies accordingly some distance.

The hassle-free trailer for "Grand Theft Auto VI" turned formally released faster than schedule December Four, 2023 accordingly of a leak.

CHRIS DELMAS/Getty P.c.

Take-Two CEO now not 'definitely concerned' about recession

Gaming is the dominant enjoyment area, with U.S. prospects spending a glorious $fifty seven.2 billion on gaming thru 2023, up $1 billion from the previous 12 months.

In evaluation, global container office earnings totaled $33.9 billion final 12 months, up 30.5% from 2022, thanks typically to such blockbuster movies as Barbie and Oppenheimer.

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“These figures toughen the performance of the online activity marketplace as a development engine for the U. S. financial system,” Stanley Pierre-Louis, CEO of the Enjoyment Instrument program Association, brought up in a announcement.

“When blended with the verifiable truth that almost two-thirds of Humans play video games reasonably usually, slicing right therefore of all demographics and backgrounds, these outcomes analyze the online activity marketplace’s affect as an monetary and ingenious powerhouse with some distance-accomplishing cultural affect," he brought.

There are roughly 3 billion activity fans global, many playing video games from Take-Two Interactive.

Earlier this month, the agency acknowledged adjusted first-quarter earnings of 5 cents per share on web bookings of $1.22 billion, when compared with adjusted earnings of 27 cents per share on web bookings of $1.2 billion a 12 months formerly.

Analysts polled therefore of FactSet had anticipated Take-Two earnings of two cents a share on adjusted revenue of $1.26 billion.

Chairman and CEO Strauss Zelnick told analysts that “fiscal 12 months 2025 is off to a actually positive ” as first-quarter web bookings were consistent with expectations “and our management group stays relatively yes in our path forward.”

"The Grand Theft Auto series handed our expectations, as momentum continues to build faster than the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI in fall 2025," he brought up at some element of the agency's earnings title. "Unit revenue for Grand Theft Auto V continue to grow, and accordingly some distance, the title has supplied-in over 200 million contraptions."

In the similar manner, Zelnick brought up Crimson Dead Redemption 2 supplied elevated than Sixty five million contraptions accordingly some distance, and NBA 2K24 delivered a actually positive quarter, selling by way of eleven million contraptions accordingly some distance.

At some part of the query and answer size, Zelnick told analysts that he wasn't definitely concerned a few possibly recession.

Take-Two Interactive analyst cites 'big announcements'

"I don't see it now," he brought up. "I'm additionally now not inner the passion of predicting that category of thing, however the metrics don't help that. Regularly talking, the enjoyment passion is substantially resilient on this kind of position."

"Of course, the passion is now not counter-cyclical and in some widespread downturn, we, of course, would be negatively affected, however I simply don't see that on the horizon," Zelnick brought.

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At final be taught, Take-Two Interactive shares were up 3.1% to $159.60. The stock is off simply beneath 1% 12 months-to-date however up sixteen% from a 12 months formerly.

Analysts replied to Take-Two Interactive's admired announcements.

Benchmark raised the agency's payment target on Take-Two to $210 from $200. It kept a purchase ranking on the shares after the agency made “big announcements” at Gamescom's Opening Night time, consisting of reporting that "Borderlands Four" and "Mafia: The Ancient Kingdom" are equally set for launch in fiscal 2026.

With “Grand Theft Auto 6” on the by way of-term horizon and basic activity announcements from Gamescom, the agency's long-establishing pipeline is "observed to stress vast monetary development," brought up the agency’s analysts, who identified Take-Two as "a Relevant Conception for 2024."

After Take-Two revealed teaser trailers at Gamescom for "Borderlands Four" and "Mafia: The Ancient Kingdom," with subsequent press releases confirming 2025 launches, Fiscal establishment of The u.s. Securities referred to that the subsequent Mafia activity turned already inner the agency's FY26 mannequin.

On the other hand, BofA brought up that it had assumed Borderlands Four to be a fiscal 12 months 2027 title based on the view that it may would prefer to not likely be released inner the identical 12 months as Grand Theft Auto 6, which is reportedly scheduled to be released in late 2025.

While investor focal element stays on GTA 6's launch timeline, the agency believes the clean title announcements demonstrate the prospective of the relaxation of the FY26/27 immersive core slate of 15 titles, which is "possibly underappreciated."

BofA reiterated a purchase ranking and $185 payment target on Take-Two shares.

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