Goldman Sachs analyst tweaks Apple stock price target ahead of Q1 earnings

Apple shares are on pace for their worst monthly performance in more than two years.

Jan 23, 2025 - 18:30
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Goldman Sachs analyst tweaks Apple stock price target ahead of Q1 earnings

Apple shares edged decrease in early Thursday shopping and selling, extending a pass into correction territory for the realm's 2d-largest tech stock, following a ticket arrangement downgrade from Goldman Sachs analysts ahead of its December quarter earnings myth later next week.

Apple (AAPL) shares admire fallen around 13.6% since their Boxing Day high, shedding bigger than $600 billion in market price and shedding its location as the realm's greatest company to Nvidia (NVDA) , amid issues tied to muted iPhone demand and the affect of its Apple Intelligence AI rollout.

Stiffer opponents for smartphones gross sales in China, a key Apple market, is additionally weighing on the community, with knowledge closing week indicating local opponents Huawei and Vivo secured first and 2d location when it comes to general handset market part in the realm's 2d-largest economy closing year.

World Recordsdata Company (IDC), which published its intently watched myth on global handset gross sales earlier this month, said Apple's fourth-quarter deliveries fell 4.1% from the year-earlier interval to around 76.9 million devices.

Apple held onto its title of the realm's greatest smartphone vendor, alternatively, with an estimated 18.7% a part of the worldwide market, per IDC knowledge, lawful ahead of Samsung's 18% tally.

Apple's new iPhone 16, as properly as the rollout of its Apple Intelligence AI aspects, has but to trigger the smartphone upgrade anticipated by Wall Street analysts.

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Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng says his forecast for Apple iPhone shipments over the three months ending in December, the community's fiscal first quarter, is largely per IDC knowledge, however notes that can be "bigger than offset by 5% year-over-year iPhone [average selling price] allege."

Apple products and providers revenue in point of interest

Ng expects iPhone gross sales to upward thrust 1% from the year-previously interval, which tallied $69.7 billion, and sees general community revenues rising lawful below 4% to $124.2 billion.

"Services allege should continue to compound at double digits, with App Retailer spending anticipated to develop 15% and astronomical runway for additonal adoption of Apple's products and providers," Ng said.

Alternatively, in a level to published Thursday that lowered his ticket arrangement by $6, to $280 per part, Ng maintained his 'aquire' rating on Apple stock in spite of it being on pace for its worst monthly performance since December of 2022.

"While opponents has intensified within the Chinese smartphone market, we're impressed by the potential of accelerating iPhone allege in [the next fiscal year] driven by new product innovation for iPhone 17/18 and the ongoing rollout of Apple Intelligence to new markets with a more robust characteristic save," Ng said

Connected: Analyst revisits Apple stock ticket arrangement ahead of Q1 earnings update

"We count on market sentiment to enhance mid-year, which is a seasonally precise interval for the stock, as issues about Apple Intelligence's restricted affect on iPhone demand and opponents in China are replaced by optimism over the new slate of Apple Intelligence aspects published at WWDC 2025, the start of most modern Mac, iPad, and iPhone SE merchandise in Spring 2025, and potential new aspects for the iPhone 17/18 in Fall 2025/26," Ng and his team wrote.

Apple correction roam 'arrangement overdone'

In a separate point to published slack Wednesday, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives additionally weighed-in on Apple's most modern roam, calling the "apprehension and undergo frenzy" around the stock "arrangement overdone".

Ives, who reiterated his $325 ticket arrangement on Apple stock ahead of next week's earnings, said the Apple Intelligence rollout shall be "the launch of a wide allege renaissance at Apple and that bull thesis remains intact as we glimpse ~20% of the realm's population in the slay accessing AI by arrangement of an Apple instrument over the coming years."

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"Apple Intelligence is the root that developers will win a total bunch of apps around and that can translate into billions of incremental products and providers allege for Cupertino over the coming years," Ives said.

"What the bears continue to head away out on Apple is its golden installed injurious of 1.5 billion iPhones and 2.3 billion iOS devices is unmatched and will carry out a brand new AI driven allege legend that the Street is rarely any longer factoring into the stock," he added.

Apple shares were marked 0.55% decrease in premarket shopping and selling to veil a gap bell ticket of $222.61 every.

Connected: Aged fund supervisor issues dire S&P 500 warning for 2025

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