Rohingya Muslims, northeast insurgency, drugs…Arakan Army slowly capturing Myanmar, BIG threat for India due to…

Myanmar civil battle: In a serious trend in the Myanmar civil battle, the Arakan Navy (AA) — the country’s significant insurrection neighborhood– has captured most of basically the most critical Rakhine province, handing a heavy defeat to the ruling militant junta, and giving the rebels preserve watch over over the Myanmar-Bangladesh border.

The Myanmar civil battle hiss is a serious trigger of fret for every Bangladesh and India, with Dhaka expressing mission over the pouring of Rohingya Muslim refugees in the country, while New Delhi fears the trend can enjoy an impact on the enjoy an impact on the security of India’s northeastern states.

In keeping with reports, the Arakan Navy has dealt critical blows to Myanmar’s militia regime, taking pictures dozens of cities and navy posts in the closing 15 months. Closing month, the insurrection warring parties seized preserve watch over of the BGP5 barracks, an crucial and strategic navy corrupt positioned shut to the Rohingya-dominated Bangladesh border in Rakhine Express.

Rohingya exodus

The Rohingya Muslims, who had been persecuted by Myanmar’s junta navy, having been fleeing to neighbouring international locations, namely Bangladesh and India, since 2017 when the Myanmar Navy launched a brutal campaign on Rohingya Muslims. A total bunch of hundreds of Rohingyas enjoy since fled Myanmar and sought refuge in India, Bangladesh and other neighbouring international locations.

Consultants mumble the difficulty may receive worse as Rohingyas face the same drugs from insurrection groups as they construct from the Myanmar Navy, and the capture of extra areas by rebels would pause in a surge in the exodus of those persecuted other folks, increasing the refugee burden on neighbouring international locations, namely the border states in these nations.

Northeast insurgency and drug trade

The rising dominance of insurrection groups in Myanmar is a serious mission for India as the scenario may straight enjoy an impact on the security hiss in India’s northeastern states, namely in ethnic violence riddled Manipur, which has been battling a civil battle-love hiss since May 2023.

As per experts, the influx of Christian and Buddhist refugees from Myanmar in the closing 20 months has complicated the difficulty in Manipur, and fanned insurgency in the northeastern device. They judge that China may employ the Myanmar civil battle and the political turmoil in Bangladesh to race unrest in India’s northeast border states.

India is also fascinating that militant groups in the northeast may without disaster rep unusual weaponry and navy affords throughout the insurrection groups in Myanmar. One other significant mission is the rising bad-border drug trade in the northeast, which is believed to be applied by the Myanmar rebels to raise funds.

Additionally, India is also insecure about its Kaladan Multi-Modal Alternate and Transit Challenge (KMTTP), the predominant port of the project is positioned in Sittwe which will handiest be reached throughout the insurrection-controlled Rakhine.

As per reports, New Delhi has opened diplomatic channel to enjoy interplay in talks with every Myanmar’s militia junta and insurrection groups.

“In the last few months, India has started collaborating with insurrection groups in the border areas. The significant purpose of those talks is to give protection to India’s strategic hobby by making sure security in the northeast. On the opposite hand, New Delhi should uncover additional efforts to raise its rapport with the Arakan Navy,” acknowledged Chhavi Vashishth, a senior compare affiliate at Chintan Study Foundation.